Guidance Note: Climate-Resilient Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa’s Urban Areas. © Copyright 2023 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/ The World Bank 1818 H Street NW Washington, D.C. 20433




1.1. PROBLEM STATEMENT
Urban areas are the economic heart and home of the majority of the world’s population. Gross domestic product is typically concentrated in and reliant on the productivity of a country’s urban centers, with the transformative transition from a low- to a middle-income country dependent on the success of urbanization. Urban areas require significant energy, water, and other resources to function effectively, while simultaneously having a substantial impact on both environmental and human health (Burdett, et al. 2011).
While remaining mostly rural (42 percent of the total population lives in urban areas), Sub-Saharan Africa is one of the world's fastest urbanizing regions, with urban population growth rates averaging 4.1 percent per year, as compared to the global average of 2 percent. The number of urban dwellers in Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to double by 2050. Figure 1 shows the urban population growth rate for countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, as compared to the regional average. Cities like Lagos and Kinshasa already constitute urban agglomerations of over 10 million residents, while Dar-es-Salaam, Johannesburg, and Luanda are projected to reach that size by 2030 (UN 2019). These high rates of urban population growth are driven by migration from rural areas, endogenous growth, as well as the expansion of urban boundaries which translates into larger contiguous areas of urban settlement. Consequently, the land area used for urban activities is projected to increase by nearly 600 percent by 2030 (Güneralp et al. 2017).

Publications


The dynamics of global risks: Socio-political risks in strategic management and policy decisions


Cesar Marolla

Cathryn F. Lavery Kurt J. Engemann, Volume IV Socio-Political Risk Management: Assessing and Managing Global Insecurity, vol. 4, De Gruyter, Genthiner Straße 13 10785 Berlin , Germany, 2023 Apr 27


The Routledge Companion to Risk, Crisis and Security in Business: Megacities at Risk


Cesar Marolla

Kurt J. Engemann, 1st Edition, Routledge, London, 2018, p. 500


The Routledge Companion to Risk, Crisis and Security in Business: Leading through Uncertainty


Cesar Marolla

Kurt J. Engemann, 1st Edition, Routledge, London, 2018, p. 500


Intelligent Transport Systems for Sustainable Development


Cesar Marolla

Information and Communication Technology for Sustainable Development, 2018


The Global Risk Dilemma


Cesar Marolla

Information and Communication Technology for Sustainable Development, 2018


ICT Strategic Framework


Cesar Marolla

Information and Communication Technology for Sustainable Development, 2018


Megacities at risk


Cesar Marolla

The Routledge Companion to Risk, Crisis and Security in Business, 2018


Leading through uncertainty


Cesar Marolla

The Routledge Companion to Risk, Crisis and Security in Business, 2018


The Information and Communication Technology Revolution


Cesar Marolla

Information and Communication Technology for Sustainable Development, 2018


Information and Communication Technology and Sustainability


Cesar Marolla

Information and Communication Technology for Sustainable Development, 2018


ICT Role and Roadmap for Smart Sustainable Cities


Cesar Marolla

Information and Communication Technology for Sustainable Development, 2018


Health in the Digital World


Cesar Marolla

Information and Communication Technology for Sustainable Development, 2018


Using Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) to Tackle Climate Variability and Change Impacts


Cesar Marolla

Information and Communication Technology for Sustainable Development, 2018


Innovation Strategy


Cesar Marolla

Information and Communication Technology for Sustainable Development, 2018


Information and Communication Technology and Sustainable Development: An Imperative for Change


Cesar Marolla

Information and Communication Technology for Sustainable Development, 2018




Information and Communication Technology for Sustainable Development


Cesar Marolla

1st Edition, Taylor & Francis Group, 6000 Broken Sound Parkway Northwest, Suite 300 Boca Raton, FL 33487 United States, 2018 Sep 29


The Epoch of Smart Cities and Innovation.


Nathalie Crutzen, Cesar Marolla

2017


Management Strategy for Effecting Change within Megacities


Cesar Marolla

vol. 1, CRC Press, 2016


16. Rio de Janeiro


Cesar Marolla, Alfred Sommer

2016


18. Los Angeles


Cesar Marolla, A. Sommer

2016


14. Overview of Megacities Used in Case Study


Cesar Marolla, A. Sommer

2016


22. Risk Management, Strategy, and Leadership


Cesar Marolla, A. Sommer

2016


15. City of New York


Cesar Marolla, A. Sommer

2016




Climate Health Risks in Megacities: Sustainable Management and Strategic Planning


Cesar Marolla

vol. 1, Taylor and Francis Group, 6000 Broken Sound Pkwy NW #300, Boca Raton, FL 33487, 2016 Dec


Climate Change Impacts on Health: The Urban Poor in the World’s Megacities


Cesar Marolla

Thesis advisors: Richard Goode, Digital Access to Scholarship at Harvard, Harvard University, Harvard University , 86 Brattle Street Cambridge, MA 02138, 2012 Jun 20


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